Overall the NOAA had been forecasting a very mild winter for this year. But that forecast has been cooled down a bit, at least the early part of the winter.
Category: Forecasting
A Stunningly Good Hurricane Forecast
Better forecasts are the first line of defense against severe weather.
Germans Will Need to Turn on Heat as Cold, Wet Weather Sets to Grip Country in Early August
NOAA August forecast for Europe flops!
Alarming Deterioration of US National Weather Service Tornado Warnings
To continue the status quo is to guarantee more lives are unnecessarily lost and that more mega-disasters like Joplin will occur.
Arctic Ice: A History of Failed Predictions
Decades of failed predictions about the end of Arctic sea ice should prompt us to view these new findings with a critical eye
US Has Had a “Historic Winter” As “All Western States Have Seen Record Snowfall”
All western US states have seen above-average snowfall; in fact, all have set records:
Introducing the Realitometer
Month by inexorable month, the Realitometer will show just how absurdly exaggerated were and are the official predictions of global warming on which easily-manipulated governments
Can You Trust Machine Learning Chat Applications for Weather Information?
ChatGPT can produce reasonable-sounding prose that is often totally wrong.
Christmas Day Forecast: Snowiest and Coldest Since 2000
Joe Bastardi forecast: Christmas Day – snow as far south as Louisana and Houston Texas, temperatures over 20 degrees below normal.
Modelers/ Forecasters Can’t Even Agree on Europe’s Upcoming Winter
Ironically, it is said that scientists all agree on the long-term climate forecast, yet, they can’t even agree on what lies ahead for the next few months.
European Models Provide Far Better Forecasts than U.S. Models for Hurricane Ian
U.S. global weather prediction is not as good as some major international centers, and the cost to the American people is enormous (can you imagine the costs of all the…
North Atlantic Temperature Helps Forecast Extreme Events in Northeast Brazil Up To 3 Months in Advance
Precipitation and sea surface temperature frequencies changed after very strong El Niño and La Niña events, increasing the likelihood of phase coherence.
Forecast For 22nd June 2050
The Met Office has taken to sending out forecasts of weather in three decades time, despite the fact that they are useless at forecasting more than a couple of days…
A Critical Gap in Tornado Warning Technology: Lessons of the Recent Tornado Outbreak
The smartphone could not only provide a warning of imminent tornado passage but could provide information on the best direction to flee if no sheltering location is available–generally at right…
BBC and Met Office at War over ‘Deep Freeze’ Winter Weather Forecasts
From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT By Paul Homewood Get the popcorn out! A rare clash has emerged between the two ‘big boys’ of UK weather forecasting after…
We Trust Meteorology To Save Lives. Is The Same Possible For Climate Science?
Sorry, the suggestion that passing policy based on 50-year climate science forecasts is somehow supported by the success of weather forecast models is mis-guided at best.
Disaster Hits the New York Metropolitan Area. We Need to Do Better.
There is no reason why so many people had to die last night from an event we knew was coming and which we could watch unfold with weather radar and…
Why Models Can’t Predict Temperature: A History Of Failure
The bottom line is that climatology is simply wrong about the magnitude of future global warming. No government should pay the slightest attention to anything it says.
Friday Funny: nature makes a mockery of month-ahead model forecasts.
Sometimes, you just have to laugh. Earth is a complex system, and forecasting weather events in such a complex system is no easy task due to the built in entropy…
Assessment of climate change risk to the insurance sector
Apart from the slow creep of sea level rise which in recent decades has been tracking the low end of the RCP4.5 scenario, there is little justification for expecting a…
U.S. Numerical Weather Prediction is Crippled by the Division between NOAA and the Academic Community. But a Rare Opportunity Beckons.
U.S. global weather prediction run by NOAA/National Weather Service is now in fourth place among national centers and FAR behind what one would expect from the world-leading U.S. weather research…
5G wireless may lead to inaccurate weather forecasts
Upcoming 5G wireless networks that will provide faster cell phone service may lead to inaccurate weather forecasts, according to a Rutgers study on a controversial issue that has created anxiety…
Storm Forecast This Week Could End Some West Coast Wildfires
Last week, computer weather forecast models were hinting at the possibility of a weather system pattern change that could result in significant precipitation for California and the West Coast. While…
You must be logged in to post a comment.