Canadian Climate Policy: Reasonableness Needed

From MasterResource

By Rob Ivany — December 7, 2023

“Governments, NGOs, and rent-seeking interests often originate and perpetuate issue polarization based solely on political expediency and are adept at stifling debate and fomenting division. Acceptance of contrary opinions is greeted with enthusiasm akin to how the 5th-century Romans must have welcomed the invading Barbarian horde.”

Reasonableness. It’s imbued in our lexicon as the word for which we reach when the need arises to make an appeal for fairness, moderation, tolerance, caution, or logically deduce what outcome is or was most likely: ‘Let’s be reasonable here’. ‘I’m trying to appeal to your sense of reason’. ‘Do we believe that is the most reasonable course of action?’

As a concept, it underpins our modern society. The Age of Reason precipitated this inclusion of intellectualism into our societal fabric where rapid progress in science and philosophy permeated our views, challenging old constructs to improve the human condition. Western judicial systems are based on the premise of ‘reasonable doubt’ – facts in any given case are assessed on logic to determine the likelihood of a defendants actions; one can’t simply assert guilt for it to be so.

If one assesses the current political climate within Western society through the ‘lens’ of reason primacy, it’s not a bridge too far to argue we have a diminishing connection to it as a core tenet.

We are, instead, plagued by narratives meant to divide us into camps of constrained thought where objectivity is discouraged, and fanatical adherence rewarded. An omnipresent game of societal ‘Plinko’ ensures any given economic, social, or environmental issue ricochets off the ‘pegs’ of political dogma to fall neatly into the respective silo where each side then condescends to the other and hyperbole, alarmism, and vitriol serve as the tools to shame and churn up animosity thereby repelling any hope for compromise.

Nature abhors a vacuum as people do an index finger pointed in their face.

We seem to have settled comfortably into a reality where debate is no longer viewed as the civilized mechanism through which bad ideas are countered with better ideas, but the reality is, of course, that there are few self-evident truths, and our civilization has not ebbed forward by entrenching in a position and then enveloping it in an opaque cloak to prevent the light of reason from entering.

Governments, NGOs, and rent-seeking interests often originate and perpetuate issue polarization based solely on political expediency and are adept at stifling debate and fomenting division. Acceptance of contrary opinions is greeted with enthusiasm akin to how the 5th-century Romans must have welcomed the invading Barbarian horde.

Moving away from generalities, one could choose any contemporary issue to validate whether its discussion passes a “reason” litmus test, as it were; however, few substantiate the rigid boundaries of polarization more than climate change.

Few, regardless of political affiliation, socioeconomic status, or otherwise, are opposed to protecting the environment, taking practical measures to reduce pollution and reducing negative impacts, and pursuing the most efficient, sustainable energies—old, new, or transformed.

Personally, I’m a huge advocate of “greener” technologies so long as they are economic and market friendly. Consumers matter. Taxpayers matter. The freedom to choose matters. And properly defining “green” (there are tradeoffs) must be done with care.

Vandalizing works of art or gluing oneself to a busy highway doesn’t change that fact – it’s a hollow spectacle that drives resentment. The prevailing climate-change agenda seems low on pragmatism, places the sole burden for emission reductions on an individual level, and refuses to acknowledge the limited means of a large portion of the population. Preferring instead to use doomsday clichés to stifle dissent, and, most troubling of all, pursue repressive, untenable policies that have at best dubious benefits.

In my native Canada, the Liberal Party and the triumvirate of Trudeau, Freeland, and Guilbeault display a particular exuberance for weaponizing issue polarization. Whether it be veteran affairs, the pandemic, small business owners, or climate change, it is difficult to recall a federal government so dedicated to sowing division and etching deep lines of partisanship between Canadians. They exhibit an almost ritualistic narcissism defending their crowning achievement, the Carbon Tax, and treat opposition to its efficacy as malignant, unintelligent treachery while demonstrating hypocrisy in practice.

The fundamental complexity of a carbon tax and how it is theoretically beneficial is not well understood by most, yet it is doled out to the masses as if it were self-evident. Explanations I’ve seen draw mental comparisons to John Nash scribbling on a chalkboard in “A Beautiful Mind”, but it is, at its core, a consumption tax with a game of three-card monte at the end.

Efficacy aside, during a time of immense inflationary pressures and evaporating affordability where a large majority of Canadians need to choose between paying rent or buying food, the Trudeau Government decided it prudent to proceed with planned Carbon Tax hikes; increases that the government acknowledges will disproportionately affect the most vulnerable households. A small glimmer of hope was recently revealed in the form of a temporary pause on home heating oil in Atlantic Canada but that was merely a reactionary strategy to try and mitigate a precipitous fall in the polls rather than the eureka moment for which many wished.

This is entirely devoid of reason and, frankly, a dereliction of leadership. This is not a “we shall fight on the beaches…” moment for Trudeau; it is instead merely an irrational devotion to upholding bad policy. Political theatre masquerading as an inherent danger. On a broader scale, without a globally coordinated effort with participation from the highest polluting economies, Canada’s carbon pricing scheme will have all the effect of removing a single flake of glitter from a snow globe. Public sentiment is shifting, however, as a recent survey suggests most Canadians believe the carbon tax is ineffective.

Climate policy or otherwise, we’ve stopped talking to each other and started shouting, applying labels, and name-calling. We’ve allowed activism, extremism, and political expediency to take point on the most serious issues of our time. As a society, I believe we have an innate affinity towards rational thought and action, but this intentional polarization has prevented us from using reason as the arbiter of truth or finding the line of best fit. We must reverse course, or am I being unreasonable?

—————

Rob Ivany, CMC, is a management consultant and strategic advisor living in Stratford, Price Edward Island, Canada. His profile is here.

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Mr.
December 7, 2023 10:12 pm

Most people just don’t grasp the retail prices effects of a compounding tax imposed at basic materials input levels.

My Canadian friends tell me this is now being realized at street level as a result of the punitive costs of living increases.

Bad policies all come home to roost eventually, Justin.

Cam_S
December 7, 2023 10:52 pm

At COP28 today, Canada announced it will now have a cap and trade policy for fossil fuel industries, also.
– – – – – – – – –

Federal government unveils what it calls a ‘strict’ oil and gas cap to curb emissions
Framework meant to reduce emissions while letting production increase 12% above 2019 levels

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/liberal-government-unveils-oil-gas-cap-1.7051803

DMacKenzie
Reply to  Cam_S
December 8, 2023 8:54 am

Ah Cam, You and the public are being duped by Liberal party double-speak amplified by the CBC.
If you are an oil producer in Canada, you can increase production from 2019 levels by 12% but you have to reduce C02 emissions by 38% to do that. Reality is that Canadian production is already operating at high efficiency and probably can’t achieve a 10% reduction in emissions.

So do a search on “list of 10 of Canada’s major industries”, then search “list of Canada’s 10 biggest exports”. Then try to figure out how Canada can economically cope with the loss of 1/3 of the petroleum related economy.

Trudeau and his “henchpersons” are truly deranged. It is quite possible that they don’t even want reductions at all, just be paid for the carbon offsets that they will sell, thus fattening fed coffers and taking control of an industry that has been in their cash cow sights for decades, but is constitutionally not in their jurisdiction.

Streetcred
December 7, 2023 11:26 pm

One could just as easily transpose Canda with Australia … we’re on the same trajectory.

Walter R. Hogle
Reply to  Streetcred
December 8, 2023 8:11 am

Shouldn’t Canada be grateful for SLIGHTLY warmer winters – still incredibly uncomfortable?

JohnC
December 8, 2023 1:17 am

story tip
This is from the BBC, 5 reasons to be optimistic about climate change. They reckon that by the end of the decade there will be sufficient batteries to supply 18 million homes in the uk. The example they give can provide power to 18000 homes for two hours.
They talk of solar panels shaving off instantaneous power when the sun shines.
”The idea is called Vehicle2Grid, or V2G and it’s essentially the kit needed to send and receive power from your car to your house and on to the national grid. 
The idea is that if you can charge the car when energy is cheap, you can sell it back to the grid when it’s more expensive and turn a profit. 
With cars spending 95% of their time parked up, they are perfectly suited to the role of buying and selling energy, like little four wheeled market traders. 
This is critically important for the national grid which is in the process of adding more and more renewables like wind and solar, and needs somewhere to send that power when it’s too windy or sunny. 
And imagine if you were charging your car with energy from your own solar panels – you could sell this free energy to the grid for a decent margin, trials have shown.”

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-67627242

Clearly the laws of thermodynamics have been repealed for the second time.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  JohnC
December 8, 2023 5:00 am

“The idea is that if you can charge the car when energy is cheap, you can sell it back to the grid when it’s more expensive and turn a profit. ”

Even if theoretically true – isn’t that going to help wear out the batteries? I know zero about batteries- just asking. Besides, who’s going to want to drain their batteries when they use that vehicle daily?

michel
December 8, 2023 1:20 am

Its a nice idea, but climatism is a religious cult. You will no more persuade its adherents to listen to alternative points of view on either climate itself or their proposed policy measures than you will persuade committed adherents of Islam or Christianity to have an amicable discussion of the rational basis of their faiths.

How you can tell its a religious cult? The prescriptions for policy action are not rationally connected to the climate belief. As you see in the case cited in the piece. The Candadian carbon pricing scheme is being done because climate, but demonstrably can have no effect on it. Its similar to most of the green initiatives. You will get called a climate denier if you dispute the merits of EVs. But they probably don’t reduce CO2 emissions at all over their life.

Its like eat up your dinner because of the starving children in Africa. Right, and how will that benefit them?

Shut up and listen to your uncle Justin!

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  michel
December 8, 2023 5:05 am

“How you can tell its a religious cult?”

Here in Wokeachusetts, not a single politician, academic, government worker will ever dare to speak against it. And, even very few in private enterprise. It’s like living in Mecca. You don’t dare say anything against the prevailing religion- or you will indeed be canceled. I wouldn’t be surprised it’ll someday be a crime here to speak against it. We’re moving in that direction.

Ron Long
December 8, 2023 2:44 am

Good discussion by Rob Ivany. But I can’t help but wonder how Bob and Doug McKenzie would treat the subject? Looks like Canada needs a little more sarcasm toward policies that are very pretentious, but actually are anti-Canadian.

atticman
December 8, 2023 4:58 am

The problem is that, once a politician has nailed his colours to a bad policy, he will defend it to the death, because of the reputational damage that admitting he was wrong will cause, and will continue to defend it even after it becomes obvious he was wrong!

And, just in case there’s anyone gender-sensitive reading this, women can behave this way too (though they ought to know better). Remember Margaret Thatcher and the poll tax? Her refusal to u-turn on this matter is what ultimately brought her down.

Redge
Reply to  atticman
December 8, 2023 9:48 am

Maggie was right about the poll tax.

Why on earth should someone living alone pay a disproportionate part of their income on rates, when a family of 4 living next door pay the same rates?

The current “improvement”, the council tax, is just as bad. A single person pays 1.5 times a couple for simply living alone. Does that single person consume 1.5 times of council services?

It’s a rip-off that penalises singles and pensioners, and not only that, most of the money we pay is going to local authority wages and index-linked pension schemes.

Gary Pearse
December 8, 2023 5:42 am

So let’s be reasonable? Too fluffy and and vacuous for useful criticism of the horror show being foist on the entire world. This may be why Canada is such a patsy for ill disguised Crimes Against Humanity.

ferdberple
December 8, 2023 5:51 am

The switch from leaded to unleaded or from freon to r134a went smoothly and efficiently because the solution was engineered before it was implemented.
The Trudeau government has done the opposite. It is trying to implement an end to fossil fuel before the solution has been engineered. They are putting the cart before the horse and left wondering why the result runs off the road.
Try it yourself Run a car with trailer in reverse at 20 km/h and see how well you succeed. That is Canada today.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  ferdberple
December 8, 2023 6:22 am

There’s no evidence that CO2 needs to be controlled, but that doesn’t stop politicians from taxing it. They don’t need any evidence.

ferdberple
December 8, 2023 5:58 am

When you go the numbers, a $ 10 k lipo battery can store and release about $ 10 k worth of electricity in its lifetime.
The idea of grid storage batteries is a complete nonsense with today’s technology.

Wester
December 8, 2023 6:00 am

Why climate change is such a serious issue is mind boggling. In the 1960s to the 1990s, pollution – real pollution – e.g., air in which you could not safely breathe, water fish would die in, was a problem in much of the western world. It’s much, much better now. But the climate alarmists are unhinged, and have become a threat to our existence as successful democracies. That’s the serious issue, not climate change.

observa
Reply to  Wester
December 8, 2023 6:19 am

Yep and take a bow folks- Nature_Rebounds.pdf (rockefeller.edu)

DMacKenzie
Reply to  observa
December 8, 2023 9:09 am

An Interesting read….16 well worth it pages.

gyan1
Reply to  observa
December 8, 2023 1:04 pm

Thanks for the link! It’s poison for doomsters.

DMacKenzie
Reply to  Wester
December 8, 2023 9:04 am

The bureaucracies that did those good works, now exist simply for the minions to collect paychecks, so they invent new important-sounding priorities for their existence.

wilpost
December 8, 2023 6:17 am

No climate policy is needed, reasonable or not
All bureaucrats associated with it are fired to pursue other careers, plus a tax cut for all to celebrate the arrival of sanity

Tom Halla
December 8, 2023 7:51 am

Like Sri Lanka, such policies lead to an unfortunate response. Pitchforks and torches?

DMacKenzie
Reply to  Tom Halla
December 8, 2023 9:20 am

Bottom line….central planners decided they couldn’t afford to import fertilizer and would just go without. Result, hungry people, broke farmers, riots, political stride
Central planners are not likely to be good stewards of other people’s money, whereas market forces cause private enterprises to excercise constant awareness.
Of course you can’t do without some type of centralized oversight looking after the laws of the land, but when they start busying themselves with reducing your farmer’s productivity instead of enabling it, they have gone way too far…

Tom Halla
Reply to  DMacKenzie
December 8, 2023 10:23 am

My understanding was that the former government went all in for “organic” or “regenerative” agriculture, and believed synthetic fertilizer was evil as well as unnecessary.

nutmeg
December 8, 2023 8:45 am

About 90% of Canadians live within 100 miles of the United States because the rest of the country is so cold. If human CO2 causes significant warming, the only reasonable climate policies for the Canadian government would be to entice increases in carbon dioxide emissions.

otropogo
Reply to  nutmeg
December 8, 2023 8:43 pm

Not so sure about Canadians huddling close to the US border. It seems more likely it’s the proximity of the lower Great Lakes, and the St. Lawrence Seaway, with a nod to the somewhat sheltered and agriculturally productive Lower Mainland on the Pacific Coast.

nutmeg
Reply to  otropogo
December 10, 2023 5:38 am

You’re helping my point. There are vast numbers of rivers and lakes in Canada’s middle and northern latitudes, along with millions of acres of farmland. They just need to be thawed out.

ringworldrefugee
December 8, 2023 9:51 am

At this very moment in Alberta, wind and solar are producing a combined 132 MW out of installed capacity of 6066 MW or a miniscule 2.2% of installed capacity. If you actually believe we can achieve “net zero” in Canada (or any industrialized country) you are truly too stupid to argue with. And if you are wondering what happens to the coal plants we close in North America. They don’t disappear, they just pop up in other countries that have virtually no environmental controls or labor laws.

Greg61
December 8, 2023 10:27 am

Canada’s most famous prog rock band – Rush – predicted our fascistic climate cult future back in 1980 with “Red Barchetta”
https://genius.com/Rush-red-barchetta-lyrics

gyan1
December 8, 2023 11:45 am

It is mathematically impossible for carbon taxes in Canada to have a measurable impact on global temperatures.

How did Canadians become so profoundly stupid? They are all huddled within 100 miles of the US border because it’s too cold much of the year. A warming world would be hugely beneficial to them.

Ideology has replaced reason for people who lack critical thinking skills. Progressives are defined by their inability to understand what actions create progress in the real world. Their myopic tribalist conformity to absurd narratives is only exceeded by the mental gymnastics they employ to preserve the false beliefs they blindly accepted as unquestionable truth. Brain dead idiocy rules.

Edward Katz
December 8, 2023 2:32 pm

Canadian climate activists just can’t grasp the reality that their countrymen consider climate action at low priority level, well behind jobs, living costs, healthcare, education, housing, public safety, etc. Citizens may claim to be “concerned” about climate and the environment, but as soon as they realize they’d have to face increased overall taxes and higher prices for almost everything plus a number of restrictions on their lifestyles, their enthusiasm doesn’t merely wane, it drains away completely. Yet the Liberal government can’t face such facts and goes talking a good game about its climate accomplishments and plans while consistently missing its emissions reductions targets. No wonder the country is an object of derision whenever its environmental record is reviewed.

gyan1
Reply to  Edward Katz
December 8, 2023 3:15 pm

Why are Canadians not rising up in opposition? Compliance is what I observe.

Wester
Reply to  gyan1
December 8, 2023 3:30 pm

I believe Canadians – the majority – are communists. Have been for several decades. They hate the rich and like the government telling them how to live. Sickening, really.

otropogo
Reply to  Wester
December 8, 2023 8:49 pm

I think you’re mistaking sheepish behavior for ideology. Most Canadians wouldn’t recognize a communist if they tripped over one. Most proudly support their home hockey teams and those who want to distinguish themselves as individualists often achieve that by wearing another team’s colours.

sturmudgeon
Reply to  gyan1
December 8, 2023 9:34 pm

I must agree. Just in my own family (siblings, nieces,nephews,cousins, etc.) ALL but one took up all the ridiculous flu masking, jabs, confinings, etc. full bore, and will listen to, or read about ANYthing that differs from the Gov’t. B.S.

sturmudgeon
Reply to  sturmudgeon
December 8, 2023 9:34 pm

Correction: “and will NOT”…

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